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Rochdale vs Crewe Prediction & Win Probability

Crewe has a 39% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Rochdale
4-3-7Rating 1136
Form: LLDLD
vs
Model Probability
33%
Draw 28%
39%
League Two
Crewe
5-7-2Rating 1219
Form: DLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Crewe

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.1%4.1%28.9%<1%
If Win 6.5%6.5%34.6%<1%
If Draw 4.7%4.7%27.9%<1%
If Lose 2.5%2.5%24.0%1.2%

Rochdale

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%32.8%
If Win <1%<1%1.7%22.4%
If Draw <1%<1%1.0%33.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%40.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RochdaleStatCrewe
14Games played14
1.2Avg goals scored1.2
1.9Avg goals conceded1.2
29% / 21% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 50% / 14%
43% Home win % / Away win % 29%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
RochdaleStatCrewe
3All-time wins (10 meetings, 4 draws)3
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
2.1Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-10-17): Crewe 3–2 Rochdale