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League Two
Tue, Oct 20, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

Rochdale vs Grimsby Prediction & Win Probability

Grimsby has a 38% chance to win.

2-1-4 · Rating 1150
Form: WDLWL
VS
3-4-0 · Rating 1226
Form: WWDDD
Model Probability
34%
38%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Grimsby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 11.9%11.9%33.4%1.0%
If Win 16.7%16.7%38.3%<1%
If Draw 10.8%10.8%33.8%1.0%
If Lose 8.8%8.8%29.4%1.1%

Rochdale

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.3%26.8%
If Win <1%<1%5.1%17.0%
If Draw <1%<1%2.8%26.3%
If Lose <1%<1%1.9%30.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RochdaleStatGrimsby
7Games played7
1.0Avg goals scored1.6
1.4Avg goals conceded0.9
29% / 14% / 57%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 57% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
RochdaleStatGrimsby
1All-time wins (3 meetings, 0 draws)2
1Last 3 meetings (0 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2023-03-11): Grimsby 1–0 Rochdale