Accrington vs Chesterfield Prediction & Win Probability
Accrington has a 40% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
vs
Model Probability
40%
Draw 28%
32%
Model Prediction Through Season
Chesterfield
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3.0% | 3.0% | 24.5% | 1.2% |
| If Win | 4.5% | 4.5% | 31.6% | <1% |
| If Draw | 2.4% | 2.4% | 22.5% | 1.7% |
| If Lose | 1.4% | 1.4% | 20.5% | 2.0% |
Accrington
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1.0% | 1.0% | 13.3% | 3.5% |
| If Win | 1.8% | 1.8% | 17.8% | 2.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 12.2% | 4.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 9.6% | 6.1% |
| Accrington | Stat | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Games played | 14 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 1.7 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 29% / 50% / 21% | Win / Draw / Loss | 36% / 29% / 36% |
| 43% | Home win % / Away win % | 29% |
| Accrington | Stat | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | All-time wins (13 meetings, 2 draws) | 5 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.9 | Average goals | 1.5 |