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← Home / England / League One / Matches / Arsenal vs Manchester City

Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 53% chance to win.
League One
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT
League One
Arsenal
9-0-1Rating 2091
Form: WWWWW
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vs
Model Probability
53%
Draw 25%
22%
League One
Manchester City
7-0-3Rating 2031
Form: LLLWW
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatManchester City
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored2.1
0.5Avg goals conceded1.3
90% / 0% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 0% / 30%
100% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
ArsenalStatManchester City
6All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws)17
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.1Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-04-19): Manchester City 2–1 Arsenal

Recent Results

Arsenal

vs Hull
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Liverpool
Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Everton
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
@ Nottingham
Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Leeds
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1

Manchester City

@ Nottingham
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
vs Brighton
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
@ Aston Villa
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
vs Ipswich
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3–2
@ Liverpool
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0