SHARPMODELS
NFL NBA MLB NHL EPL
Championship League One League Two
La Liga Bundesliga Serie A Ligue 1
UEFA Nations League
Global Soccer Rankings All Countries →
Articles
Matchups Teams Power Ratings Season Outlook Simulator Strength of Schedule Standings Results Schedule Head-to-Head Archive
← Home / England / League One / Matches / Aston Villa vs Manchester City

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 42% chance to win.
Final Score: Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 12:30 PM BST
League One
Aston Villa
2-2-3Rating 1943
Form: WDWLD
‹ Prev Next ›
2 – 1
Model Probability
30%
Draw 28%
42%
League One
Manchester City
7-0-0Rating 2031
Form: WWWWW
‹ Prev Next ›

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Aston VillaStatManchester City
7Games played7
1.0Avg goals scored2.7
1.6Avg goals conceded1.0
29% / 29% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
Aston VillaStatManchester City
6All-time wins (27 meetings, 2 draws)19
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
0.9Average goals2.3
Last meeting (2026-05-24): Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa

Recent Results

Aston Villa

@ Newcastle
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Brentford
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
@ Tottenham
Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3–2
vs Nottingham
Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
@ Hull
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0

Manchester City

vs Ipswich
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3–2
@ Liverpool
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0
vs Sunderland
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5–3
@ Manchester Utd
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Coventry
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0