League One Season Outlook
| # | Team | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield |
32.2% | 50.2% | 34.0% | <1% |
| 2 |  Oxford Utd |
17.9% | 34.4% | 40.8% | <1% |
| 3 |  Leicester |
14.0% | 27.9% | 41.0% | <1% |
| 4 |  Stockport County |
12.8% | 25.2% | 40.1% | <1% |
| 5 |  Luton |
4.9% | 12.7% | 36.2% | <1% |
| 6 |  Bradford City |
5.3% | 13.2% | 35.7% | <1% |
| 7 |  Plymouth |
3.5% | 8.9% | 30.4% | <1% |
| 8 |  Reading |
2.7% | 7.2% | 26.3% | 1.5% |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wed |
2.2% | 6.4% | 24.0% | 2.2% |
| 10 |  Stevenage |
1.9% | 4.8% | 20.9% | 3.6% |
| 11 |  Wycombe |
<1% | 2.5% | 13.3% | 6.2% |
| 12 |  Cambridge Utd |
<1% | 1.6% | 11.0% | 5.4% |
| 13 |  MK Dons |
<1% | 1.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
| 14 |  Mansfield |
<1% | 1.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% |
| 15 |  Leyton Orient |
<1% | <1% | 6.3% | 11.7% |
| 16 |  Burton |
<1% | <1% | 5.8% | 13.5% |
| 17 |  Notts County |
<1% | <1% | 5.7% | 14.0% |
| 18 |  Doncaster |
<1% | <1% | 2.6% | 28.0% |
| 19 |  Blackpool |
<1% | <1% | 2.3% | 28.5% |
| 20 |  Peterborough |
<1% | <1% | 1.2% | 40.6% |
| 21 |  AFC Wimbledon |
<1% | <1% | 1.0% | 45.0% |
| 22 |  Barnsley |
<1% | <1% | 1.0% | 47.9% |
| 23 |  Wigan |
<1% | <1% | <1% | 49.0% |
| 24 |  Bromley |
<1% | <1% | <1% | 83.9% |
Exact Finishing Position Probability
Chance of finishing in each exact table position, 1st to 24th, from the same 10,000 simulations. Darker cells are more likely.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield |
32.2 | 18.0 | 12.6 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 5.4 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Oxford Utd |
17.9 | 16.5 | 13.5 | 11.1 | 8.8 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Leicester |
14.0 | 13.9 | 12.3 | 11.3 | 9.8 | 7.6 | 7.0 | 5.4 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Stockport County |
12.8 | 12.4 | 12.1 | 11.0 | 8.8 | 8.2 | 6.8 | 5.6 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.2 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Luton |
4.9 | 7.8 | 8.9 | 9.2 | 9.3 | 8.8 | 8.4 | 7.6 | 6.2 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Bradford City |
5.3 | 7.9 | 8.6 | 9.1 | 9.2 | 8.8 | 7.7 | 7.4 | 6.6 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Plymouth |
3.5 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 7.2 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.0 | 7.4 | 7.6 | 6.3 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Reading |
2.7 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 6.3 | 6.9 | 7.3 | 7.9 | 7.0 | 7.4 | 7.1 | 6.2 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Sheffield Wed |
2.2 | 4.2 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 7.6 | 7.2 | 7.4 | 6.7 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Stevenage |
1.9 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 7.2 | 6.6 | 6.0 | 6.4 | 5.7 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | <1 | <1 |
| Wycombe |
<1 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.7 | 7.1 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | <1 |
| Cambridge Utd |
<1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 5.7 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 7.1 | 7.3 | 6.8 | 7.2 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 1.7 | <1 | <1 |
| MK Dons |
<1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 4.6 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 6.8 | 7.1 | 6.7 | 6.4 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.7 | <1 |
| Mansfield |
<1 | <1 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 6.4 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 1.5 | <1 |
| Leyton Orient |
<1 | <1 | <1 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 6.7 | 6.4 | 7.2 | 7.7 | 7.3 | 6.3 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| Burton |
<1 | <1 | <1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 5.8 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| Notts County |
<1 | <1 | <1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 4.6 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 7.4 | 7.2 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| Doncaster |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 5.8 | 6.4 | 7.5 | 7.8 | 8.6 | 8.2 | 8.6 | 8.2 | 6.9 | 4.4 |
| Blackpool |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 7.0 | 7.9 | 8.3 | 9.2 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 6.8 | 4.6 |
| Peterborough |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 5.8 | 7.2 | 8.6 | 9.3 | 11.3 | 10.8 | 11.1 | 7.4 |
| AFC Wimbledon |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 6.1 | 7.1 | 8.1 | 9.4 | 11.0 | 11.8 | 12.8 | 9.4 |
| Barnsley |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 6.9 | 8.1 | 9.6 | 10.4 | 12.4 | 14.1 | 11.1 |
| Wigan |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 7.1 | 7.6 | 9.2 | 11.3 | 13.5 | 13.2 | 11.0 |
| Bromley |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 5.1 | 7.0 | 10.9 | 20.0 | 46.0 |