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Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 41% chance to win.
Final Score: Liverpool 0–3 Manchester City
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · 4:30 PM BST
League One
Liverpool
2-3-0Rating 1964
Form: WDWDD
0 – 3
Model Probability
31%
Draw 28%
41%
League One
Manchester City
5-0-0Rating 2031
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatManchester City
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored2.6
0.8Avg goals conceded1.0
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatManchester City
11All-time wins (33 meetings, 11 draws)11
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-02-08): Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City