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Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 56% chance to win.
League One
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT
League One
Newcastle
3-3-4Rating 1890
Form: DLWLL
vs
Model Probability
20%
Draw 24%
56%
League One
Arsenal
9-0-1Rating 2091
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewcastleStatArsenal
10Games played10
1.3Avg goals scored1.5
1.6Avg goals conceded0.5
30% / 30% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss90% / 0% / 10%
20% Home win % / Away win % 80%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewcastleStatArsenal
5All-time wins (30 meetings, 3 draws)22
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
0.7Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-04-25): Arsenal 1–0 Newcastle