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Championship
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 12:30 PM BST

Swansea vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability

Swansea has a 43% chance to win.

5-2-1 · Rating 1673
Form: WWLDW
VS
4-3-1 · Rating 1684
Form: DDWWD
Model Probability
43%
30%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.3%11.0%49.5%1.7%
If Win 4.9%14.0%54.1%<1%
If Draw 3.8%11.1%50.4%1.2%
If Lose 2.7%8.5%48.1%1.5%

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.1%13.5%49.9%1.2%
If Win 4.4%13.3%52.9%<1%
If Draw 3.9%11.3%51.0%1.5%
If Lose 2.8%8.7%47.5%1.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwanseaStatMiddlesbrough
8Games played8
1.6Avg goals scored2.0
0.8Avg goals conceded1.5
62% / 25% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 38% / 12%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwanseaStatMiddlesbrough
7All-time wins (21 meetings, 5 draws)9
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.2Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Swansea 2–2 Middlesbrough