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Championship
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Bolton vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability

Bolton has a 37% chance to win.

3-1-4 · Rating 1600
Form: WWLLL
VS
2-5-1 · Rating 1650
Form: DWLDD
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.3%29.5%6.1%
If Win 1.1%3.7%35.6%3.7%
If Draw <1%2.0%28.2%6.8%
If Lose <1%1.6%25.8%8.5%

Bolton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%9.2%25.4%
If Win <1%<1%11.6%18.4%
If Draw <1%<1%8.8%25.3%
If Lose <1%<1%6.9%29.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BoltonStatBirmingham
8Games played8
1.4Avg goals scored1.5
1.9Avg goals conceded1.4
38% / 12% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 62% / 12%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BoltonStatBirmingham
7All-time wins (17 meetings, 3 draws)7
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2025-03-04): Bolton 3–1 Birmingham