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Bolton vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability

Birmingham has a 42% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Bolton
5-2-8Rating 1591
Form: LWLLD
vs
Model Probability
30%
Draw 28%
42%
Championship
Birmingham
8-5-2Rating 1696
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 8.3%19.3%55.9%<1%
If Win 11.3%23.9%59.7%<1%
If Draw 8.1%17.1%58.8%<1%
If Lose 5.7%13.7%56.8%<1%

Bolton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%2.7%21.8%
If Win <1%<1%4.1%15.7%
If Draw <1%<1%3.4%23.9%
If Lose <1%<1%1.9%27.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BoltonStatBirmingham
15Games played15
1.3Avg goals scored1.9
1.9Avg goals conceded0.9
33% / 13% / 53%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 33% / 13%
29% Home win % / Away win % 57%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BoltonStatBirmingham
7All-time wins (17 meetings, 3 draws)7
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2025-03-04): Bolton 3–1 Birmingham