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Tue, Mar 2, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT

Bristol City vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability

Bristol City has a 43% chance to win.

4-1-3 · Rating 1641
Form: WLLWW
VS
2-5-1 · Rating 1650
Form: DWLDD
Model Probability
43%
30%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.4%30.4%6.3%
If Win <1%3.6%35.3%3.9%
If Draw <1%2.1%28.8%6.3%
If Lose <1%1.5%26.0%7.9%

Bristol City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.6%28.4%7.2%
If Win 1.0%3.8%30.3%4.8%
If Draw <1%1.9%26.6%6.6%
If Lose <1%1.5%22.5%8.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bristol CityStatBirmingham
8Games played8
1.4Avg goals scored1.5
1.5Avg goals conceded1.4
50% / 12% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 62% / 12%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bristol CityStatBirmingham
5All-time wins (25 meetings, 5 draws)15
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.0Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-08-22): Birmingham 2–2 Bristol City