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Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 54% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Feb 16, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
Championship
Middlesbrough
8-4-2Rating 1704
Form: LWWDW
vs
Model Probability
54%
Draw 25%
21%
Championship
Stoke
8-2-4Rating 1633
Form: WWDWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.7%34.6%<1%
If Win 1.7%4.6%42.0%<1%
If Draw 1.0%2.5%34.9%<1%
If Lose <1%1.7%30.3%1.1%

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 9.8%21.9%58.6%<1%
If Win 11.7%25.7%58.2%<1%
If Draw 7.7%17.7%59.7%<1%
If Lose 6.2%15.7%57.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MiddlesbroughStatStoke
14Games played14
2.1Avg goals scored1.6
1.4Avg goals conceded1.2
57% / 29% / 14%Win / Draw / Loss57% / 14% / 29%
71% Home win % / Away win % 57%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MiddlesbroughStatStoke
9All-time wins (19 meetings, 6 draws)4
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.3Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-10-13): Stoke 2–3 Middlesbrough