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Cardiff vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 45% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Cardiff
4-6-5Rating 1623
Form: WDLWD
vs
Model Probability
28%
Draw 27%
45%
Championship
Southampton
8-4-3Rating 1750
Form: LDWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 24.0%41.5%49.8%<1%
If Win 29.3%48.7%45.9%<1%
If Draw 20.6%37.1%51.0%<1%
If Lose 15.8%31.1%54.7%<1%

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.2%11.7%
If Win <1%<1%12.9%5.4%
If Draw <1%<1%6.9%9.9%
If Lose <1%<1%5.0%13.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CardiffStatSouthampton
15Games played15
1.8Avg goals scored1.9
1.8Avg goals conceded1.0
27% / 40% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 27% / 20%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CardiffStatSouthampton
5All-time wins (8 meetings, 1 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2024-04-20): Cardiff 2–1 Southampton