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Championship
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Cardiff vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 46% chance to win.

1-4-3 · Rating 1604
Form: WLDLL
VS
4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
Model Probability
27%
46%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 11.1%27.2%54.2%<1%
If Win 12.8%32.5%54.1%<1%
If Draw 9.9%25.9%55.2%<1%
If Lose 7.6%21.7%54.9%<1%

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%5.8%34.0%
If Win <1%<1%9.4%23.8%
If Draw <1%<1%5.6%32.6%
If Lose <1%<1%3.5%39.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CardiffStatSouthampton
8Games played8
1.2Avg goals scored2.4
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
12% / 50% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
25% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CardiffStatSouthampton
5All-time wins (8 meetings, 1 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2024-04-20): Cardiff 2–1 Southampton