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Southampton vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 58% chance to win.
Championship
Wed, Dec 9, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Championship
Southampton
8-4-3Rating 1750
Form: LDWWD
vs
Model Probability
58%
Draw 23%
19%
Championship
Burnley
1-7-7Rating 1656
Form: LDDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.6%21.7%
If Win <1%<1%7.3%12.0%
If Draw <1%<1%3.9%18.3%
If Lose <1%<1%2.7%25.0%

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 22.9%40.7%48.9%<1%
If Win 27.2%47.0%46.2%<1%
If Draw 18.3%36.3%52.1%<1%
If Lose 14.6%30.5%55.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SouthamptonStatBurnley
15Games played15
1.9Avg goals scored1.5
1.0Avg goals conceded2.1
53% / 27% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss7% / 47% / 47%
86% Home win % / Away win % 12%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SouthamptonStatBurnley
5All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2022-04-21): Burnley 2–0 Southampton