Championship
Wed, Dec 9, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Southampton vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability
Southampton has a 54% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 25%
Model Prediction Through Season
Burnley
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 1.2% | 18.1% | 13.8% |
| If Win | <1% | 1.5% | 26.4% | 8.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | 1.2% | 17.1% | 12.9% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 14.5% | 16.1% |
Southampton
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 10.7% | 27.3% | 55.0% | <1% |
| If Win | 12.1% | 31.4% | 55.0% | <1% |
| If Draw | 9.6% | 24.5% | 56.0% | <1% |
| If Lose | 6.4% | 19.7% | 52.9% | <1% |
| Southampton | Stat | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 2.4 | Avg goals scored | 1.1 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals conceded | 2.1 |
| 50% / 25% / 25% | Win / Draw / Loss | 0% / 50% / 50% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Southampton | Stat | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws) | 6 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.1 | Average goals | 1.1 |