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Birmingham vs Watford Prediction & Win Probability

Birmingham has a 60% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Dec 8, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Championship
Birmingham
8-5-2Rating 1696
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
60%
Draw 23%
18%
Championship
Watford
4-3-8Rating 1589
Form: DWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Watford

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%1.5%32.7%
If Win <1%<1%4.3%20.3%
If Draw <1%<1%2.0%28.5%
If Lose <1%<1%1.3%34.5%

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 9.9%20.6%56.3%<1%
If Win 11.7%25.0%57.4%<1%
If Draw 7.5%16.7%56.2%<1%
If Lose 4.6%12.4%53.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BirminghamStatWatford
15Games played15
1.9Avg goals scored0.9
0.9Avg goals conceded1.5
53% / 33% / 13%Win / Draw / Loss27% / 20% / 53%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BirminghamStatWatford
3All-time wins (16 meetings, 2 draws)11
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
0.6Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-01-01): Watford 3–0 Birmingham