@ Lightning
15-18-2
@ Stars
18-14-1
Playoffs
4-2
VS EXPECTED
Lightning -0.5
Avg Goals
2.9-2.8
Most Recent Winner
Lightning 4-1
Head-To-Head Margin (Max Last 150 Matches)
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 4–1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +3 | Dallas Stars +0.2 | Regular | |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1–2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1 | Regular | |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3–2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Dallas Stars +0.8 | Regular | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 4–2 | Dallas Stars +2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1 | Regular | |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 0–4 | Tampa Bay Lightning +4 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1 | Regular | |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1–8 | Dallas Stars +7 | Dallas Stars +0.7 | Regular | |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3–1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.0 | Regular | |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 4–5 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.9 | Regular | |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 0–1 | Dallas Stars +1 | Dallas Stars +0.1 | Regular | |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1–3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1.3 | Regular | |
| May 7, 2021 | 5–2 | Dallas Stars +3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 | Regular | |
| May 5, 2021 | 2–6 | Tampa Bay Lightning +4 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 | Regular | |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 0–3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 | Regular | |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3–4 | Dallas Stars +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6 | Regular | |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 2–1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6 | Regular | |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 4–3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5 | Regular | |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2–0 | Tampa Bay Lightning +2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.4 | Regular | |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 0–5 | Tampa Bay Lightning +5 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1.4 | Regular | |
| Sep 28, 2020 | 2–0 | Tampa Bay Lightning +2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1 | Playoffs | |
| Sep 26, 2020 | 3–2 | Dallas Stars +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1.2 | Playoffs | |
| Sep 25, 2020 | 5–4 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1 | Playoffs | |
| Sep 23, 2020 | 5–2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.0 | Playoffs | |
| Sep 21, 2020 | 2–3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.9 | Playoffs | |
| Sep 19, 2020 | 4–1 | Dallas Stars +3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1.1 | Playoffs | |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2–3 | Dallas Stars +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.0 | Regular | |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 4–3 | Dallas Stars +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.9 | Regular | |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 0–6 | Tampa Bay Lightning +6 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 | Regular | |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2–0 | Tampa Bay Lightning +2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5 | Regular | |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 5–4 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Dallas Stars +0.1 | Regular | |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1–6 | Tampa Bay Lightning +5 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1.1 | Regular | |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3–6 | Tampa Bay Lightning +3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7 | Regular | |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3–4 | Dallas Stars +1 | Dallas Stars +0.2 | Regular | |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3–4 | Dallas Stars +1 | Dallas Stars +0.2 | Regular | |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 5–3 | Dallas Stars +2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7 | Regular | |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 4–5 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.9 | Regular | |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 5–3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +2 | Dallas Stars +0.1 | Regular | |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 5–2 | Dallas Stars +3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.4 | Regular | |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 4–2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +2 | Dallas Stars +0.5 | Regular | |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 2–1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Dallas Stars +0.7 | Regular | |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 4–5 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.0 | Regular | |
| Nov 28, 2009 | 3–4 | Dallas Stars +1 | Dallas Stars +1.0 | Regular | |
| Jan 19, 2009 | 2–4 | Tampa Bay Lightning +2 | Dallas Stars +0.4 | Regular | |
| Feb 27, 2007 | 2–1 | Dallas Stars +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2 | Regular | |
| Jan 20, 2006 | 6–3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +3 | Dallas Stars +0.7 | Regular | |
| Dec 20, 2003 | 2–1 | Dallas Stars +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2 | Regular | |
| Jan 24, 2003 | 4–1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +3 | Dallas Stars +1.6 | Regular | |
| Jan 8, 2002 | 2–1 | Dallas Stars +1 | Dallas Stars +0.5 | Regular | |
| Jan 14, 2001 | 3–2 | Dallas Stars +1 | Dallas Stars +1.0 | Regular | |
| Nov 20, 2000 | 2–6 | Dallas Stars +4 | Dallas Stars +2.2 | Regular | |
| Mar 28, 2000 | 4–2 | Dallas Stars +2 | Dallas Stars +1.5 | Regular | |
| Oct 30, 1999 | 2–1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Dallas Stars +2.6 | Regular | |
| Mar 31, 1999 | 4–6 | Dallas Stars +2 | Dallas Stars +2.8 | Regular | |
| Jan 29, 1999 | 4–1 | Dallas Stars +3 | Dallas Stars +1.2 | Regular | |
| Apr 11, 1998 | 5–1 | Dallas Stars +4 | Dallas Stars +0.9 | Regular | |
| Dec 10, 1997 | 0–3 | Dallas Stars +3 | Dallas Stars +1.6 | Regular | |
| Feb 5, 1997 | 0–4 | Dallas Stars +4 | Dallas Stars +0.7 | Regular | |
| Nov 29, 1996 | 2–1 | Dallas Stars +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.4 | Regular | |
| Feb 19, 1996 | 2–4 | Tampa Bay Lightning +2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7 | Regular | |
| Oct 21, 1995 | 3–3 | Tie | Dallas Stars +0.8 | Regular | |
| Mar 27, 1994 | 2–2 | Tie | Dallas Stars +0.3 | Regular | |
| Nov 17, 1993 | 3–4 | Dallas Stars +1 | Dallas Stars +1.0 | Regular | |
| Feb 11, 1993 | 1–0 | Dallas Stars +1 | Dallas Stars +0.0 | Regular | |
| Jan 30, 1993 | 4–3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Dallas Stars +1.2 | Regular | |
| Jan 24, 1993 | 2–2 | Tie | Dallas Stars +0.0 | Regular | |
| Jan 19, 1993 | 4–2 | Dallas Stars +2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.0 | Regular | |
| Jan 9, 1993 | 4–6 | Dallas Stars +2 | Dallas Stars +0.7 | Regular | |
| Nov 19, 1992 | 4–1 | Dallas Stars +3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6 | Regular | |
| Oct 10, 1992 | 1–2 | Dallas Stars +1 | Dallas Stars +0.2 | Regular |