Final Score: Lightning 5 - Stars 4
Friday, September 25, 2020 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Stars

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
59-33 Rating 1610
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1
Stars
51-42 Rating 1541
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Stars
All-time wins 18 26
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.8 3.0
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Stars
Games played 92 93
Avg goals scored 3.4 2.7
Avg goals conceded 2.7 2.7
Win percentage 64% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 64% 55%