Final Score: Lightning 4 - Stars 3
Tuesday, March 16, 2021 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Stars

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
19-8 Rating 1600
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5
Stars
9-15 Rating 1501
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Stars
All-time wins 22 27
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.8 2.9
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Stars
Games played 27 24
Avg goals scored 3.6 2.9
Avg goals conceded 2.4 2.7
Win percentage 70% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 43%