| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 33–10 | Packers +23 | Vikings +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 17–25 | Chiefs +8 | Chiefs +5.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 9–16 | Broncos +7 | Broncos +2.9 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 30–23 | Steelers +7 | Seahawks +4.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 35–31 | Cardinals +4 | Eagles +14.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 17–37 | Bears +20 | Bears +2.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 19–56 | Ravens +37 | Ravens +7.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 21–27 | Bills +6 | Bills +13.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 0–26 | Jaguars +26 | Jaguars +10.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3–26 | Texans +23 | Texans +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 20–23 | Colts +3 | Colts +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 26–25 | Rams +1 | Rams +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 23–13 | Saints +10 | Buccaneers +5.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 27–10 | 49ers +17 | 49ers +8.1 | Regular Season |