Final Score: Patriots 21 - Bills 27
Sunday, December 31, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Patriots @ Bills
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Patriots | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 66 | 41 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 22.3 | 18.9 |
| Last meeting | 29 | 25 |
| Stat | Patriots | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 15 | 15 |
| Avg points scored | 14.1 | 26.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 21.5 | 18.4 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 75% |
Recent Results
Patriots
@ Denver Broncos
Dec 24, 2023 · Margin: +3 · Total: 49
26-23
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 17, 2023 · Margin: -10 · Total: 44
17-27
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Dec 7, 2023 · Margin: +3 · Total: 39
21-18
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 3, 2023 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ New York Giants
Nov 26, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 17
7-10
vs Indianapolis Colts
Nov 12, 2023 · Margin: -4 · Total: 16
6-10
vs Washington Commanders
Nov 5, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 37
17-20
@ Miami Dolphins
Oct 29, 2023 · Margin: -14 · Total: 48
17-31
vs Buffalo Bills
Oct 22, 2023 · Margin: +4 · Total: 54
29-25
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Oct 15, 2023 · Margin: -4 · Total: 38
17-21
Bills
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 23, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 46
24-22
vs Dallas Cowboys
Dec 17, 2023 · Margin: +21 · Total: 41
31-10
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 10, 2023 · Margin: +3 · Total: 37
20-17
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Nov 26, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 71
34-37
vs New York Jets
Nov 19, 2023 · Margin: +26 · Total: 38
32-6
vs Denver Broncos
Nov 13, 2023 · Margin: -2 · Total: 46
22-24
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Nov 5, 2023 · Margin: -6 · Total: 42
18-24
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Oct 26, 2023 · Margin: +6 · Total: 42
24-18
@ New England Patriots
Oct 22, 2023 · Margin: -4 · Total: 54
25-29
vs New York Giants
Oct 15, 2023 · Margin: +5 · Total: 23
14-9