Final Score: Bills 25 - Patriots 29
Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Bills @ Patriots
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Bills | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 41 | 65 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 18.8 | 22.3 |
| Last meeting | 35 | 23 |
| Stat | Bills | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 6 | 6 |
| Avg points scored | 28.8 | 12.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 14.8 | 25.3 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 17% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 0% |
Recent Results
Bills
vs New York Giants
Oct 15, 2023 · Margin: +5 · Total: 23
14-9
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Oct 8, 2023 · Margin: -5 · Total: 45
20-25
vs Miami Dolphins
Oct 1, 2023 · Margin: +28 · Total: 68
48-20
@ Washington Commanders
Sep 24, 2023 · Margin: +34 · Total: 40
37-3
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 17, 2023 · Margin: +28 · Total: 48
38-10
@ New York Jets
Sep 11, 2023 · Margin: -6 · Total: 38
16-22
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Jan 22, 2023 · Margin: -17 · Total: 37
10-27
vs Miami Dolphins
Jan 15, 2023 · Margin: +3 · Total: 65
34-31
vs New England Patriots
Jan 8, 2023 · Margin: +12 · Total: 58
35-23
@ Chicago Bears
Dec 24, 2022 · Margin: +22 · Total: 48
35-13
Patriots
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Oct 15, 2023 · Margin: -4 · Total: 38
17-21
vs New Orleans Saints
Oct 8, 2023 · Margin: -34 · Total: 34
0-34
@ Dallas Cowboys
Oct 1, 2023 · Margin: -35 · Total: 41
3-38
@ New York Jets
Sep 24, 2023 · Margin: +5 · Total: 25
15-10
vs Miami Dolphins
Sep 17, 2023 · Margin: -7 · Total: 41
17-24
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 10, 2023 · Margin: -5 · Total: 45
20-25
@ Buffalo Bills
Jan 8, 2023 · Margin: -12 · Total: 58
23-35
vs Miami Dolphins
Jan 1, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 44
23-21
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 24, 2022 · Margin: -4 · Total: 40
18-22
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 18, 2022 · Margin: -6 · Total: 54
24-30