Final Score: Dolphins 21 - Patriots 23
Sunday, January 1, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Dolphins @ Patriots
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Dolphins | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 56 | 51 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 20.9 | 21.6 |
| Last meeting | 20 | 7 |
| Stat | Dolphins | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 15 | 15 |
| Avg points scored | 24.3 | 21.2 |
| Avg points conceded | 24.7 | 19.4 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 43% |
Recent Results
Dolphins
vs Green Bay Packers
Dec 25, 2022 · Margin: -6 · Total: 46
20-26
@ Buffalo Bills
Dec 17, 2022 · Margin: -3 · Total: 61
29-32
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 11, 2022 · Margin: -6 · Total: 40
17-23
@ San Francisco 49ers
Dec 4, 2022 · Margin: -16 · Total: 50
17-33
vs Houston Texans
Nov 27, 2022 · Margin: +15 · Total: 45
30-15
vs Cleveland Browns
Nov 13, 2022 · Margin: +22 · Total: 56
39-17
@ Chicago Bears
Nov 6, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 67
35-32
@ Detroit Lions
Oct 30, 2022 · Margin: +4 · Total: 58
31-27
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Oct 23, 2022 · Margin: +6 · Total: 26
16-10
vs Minnesota Vikings
Oct 16, 2022 · Margin: -8 · Total: 40
16-24
Patriots
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 24, 2022 · Margin: -4 · Total: 40
18-22
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 18, 2022 · Margin: -6 · Total: 54
24-30
@ Arizona Cardinals
Dec 12, 2022 · Margin: +14 · Total: 40
27-13
vs Buffalo Bills
Dec 1, 2022 · Margin: -14 · Total: 34
10-24
@ Minnesota Vikings
Nov 24, 2022 · Margin: -7 · Total: 59
26-33
vs New York Jets
Nov 20, 2022 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
vs Indianapolis Colts
Nov 6, 2022 · Margin: +23 · Total: 29
26-3
@ New York Jets
Oct 30, 2022 · Margin: +5 · Total: 39
22-17
vs Chicago Bears
Oct 24, 2022 · Margin: -19 · Total: 47
14-33
@ Cleveland Browns
Oct 16, 2022 · Margin: +23 · Total: 53
38-15