Final Score: Commanders 20 - Patriots 17
Sunday, November 5, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Commanders @ Patriots
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Commanders | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 6 | 5 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 19.3 | 24.1 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 33 |
| Stat | Commanders | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 8 | 8 |
| Avg points scored | 21.4 | 14.8 |
| Avg points conceded | 28.5 | 26.0 |
| Win percentage | 38% | 25% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 25% |
Recent Results
Commanders
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Oct 29, 2023 · Margin: -7 · Total: 69
31-38
@ New York Giants
Oct 22, 2023 · Margin: -7 · Total: 21
7-14
@ Atlanta Falcons
Oct 15, 2023 · Margin: +8 · Total: 40
24-16
vs Chicago Bears
Oct 5, 2023 · Margin: -20 · Total: 60
20-40
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Oct 1, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 65
31-34
vs Buffalo Bills
Sep 24, 2023 · Margin: -34 · Total: 40
3-37
@ Denver Broncos
Sep 17, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 68
35-33
vs Arizona Cardinals
Sep 10, 2023 · Margin: +4 · Total: 36
20-16
vs Dallas Cowboys
Jan 8, 2023 · Margin: +20 · Total: 32
26-6
vs Cleveland Browns
Jan 1, 2023 · Margin: -14 · Total: 34
10-24
Patriots
@ Miami Dolphins
Oct 29, 2023 · Margin: -14 · Total: 48
17-31
vs Buffalo Bills
Oct 22, 2023 · Margin: +4 · Total: 54
29-25
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Oct 15, 2023 · Margin: -4 · Total: 38
17-21
vs New Orleans Saints
Oct 8, 2023 · Margin: -34 · Total: 34
0-34
@ Dallas Cowboys
Oct 1, 2023 · Margin: -35 · Total: 41
3-38
@ New York Jets
Sep 24, 2023 · Margin: +5 · Total: 25
15-10
vs Miami Dolphins
Sep 17, 2023 · Margin: -7 · Total: 41
17-24
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 10, 2023 · Margin: -5 · Total: 45
20-25
@ Buffalo Bills
Jan 8, 2023 · Margin: -12 · Total: 58
23-35
vs Miami Dolphins
Jan 1, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 44
23-21