Final Score: Commanders 24 - Falcons 16
Sunday, October 15, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Commanders @ Falcons
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Commanders | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 15 | 10 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 24.4 | 20.3 |
| Last meeting | 19 | 13 |
| Stat | Commanders | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 5 | 5 |
| Avg points scored | 21.8 | 16.6 |
| Avg points conceded | 32.0 | 19.2 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 100% |
Recent Results
Commanders
vs Chicago Bears
Oct 5, 2023 · Margin: -20 · Total: 60
20-40
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Oct 1, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 65
31-34
vs Buffalo Bills
Sep 24, 2023 · Margin: -34 · Total: 40
3-37
@ Denver Broncos
Sep 17, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 68
35-33
vs Arizona Cardinals
Sep 10, 2023 · Margin: +4 · Total: 36
20-16
vs Dallas Cowboys
Jan 8, 2023 · Margin: +20 · Total: 32
26-6
vs Cleveland Browns
Jan 1, 2023 · Margin: -14 · Total: 34
10-24
@ San Francisco 49ers
Dec 24, 2022 · Margin: -17 · Total: 57
20-37
vs New York Giants
Dec 18, 2022 · Margin: -8 · Total: 32
12-20
@ New York Giants
Dec 4, 2022 · Margin: 0 · Total: 40
20-20
Falcons
vs Houston Texans
Oct 8, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 40
21-19
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Oct 1, 2023 · Margin: -16 · Total: 30
7-23
@ Detroit Lions
Sep 24, 2023 · Margin: -14 · Total: 26
6-20
vs Green Bay Packers
Sep 17, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 49
25-24
vs Carolina Panthers
Sep 10, 2023 · Margin: +14 · Total: 34
24-10
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jan 8, 2023 · Margin: +13 · Total: 47
30-17
vs Arizona Cardinals
Jan 1, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 39
20-19
@ Baltimore Ravens
Dec 24, 2022 · Margin: -8 · Total: 26
9-17
@ New Orleans Saints
Dec 18, 2022 · Margin: -3 · Total: 39
18-21
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Dec 4, 2022 · Margin: -3 · Total: 35
16-19