| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2011 | 6–16 | Seahawks +10 | Seahawks +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 20–23 | Colts +3 | Colts +8.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 17–14 | Giants +3 | Giants +2.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 7–38 | 49ers +31 | 49ers +3.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3–10 | Packers +7 | Packers +4.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 14–13 | Cowboys +1 | Eagles +7.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 33–28 | Chargers +5 | Chargers +6.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 17–34 | Texans +17 | Texans +2.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 10–31 | Falcons +21 | Falcons +14.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 7–38 | Jets +31 | Jets +10.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 13–20 | Lions +7 | Vikings +3.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 7–13 | Ravens +6 | Ravens +12.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 41–9 | Steelers +32 | Steelers +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 31–10 | Raiders +21 | Chiefs +5.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 7–38 | Patriots +31 | Patriots +13.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 23–13 | Buccaneers +10 | Saints +10.4 | Regular Season |