Final Score: Dolphins 7 - Patriots 38
Sunday, January 2, 2011 at 1:02 PM ET

Dolphins @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Dolphins
7-8 Rating 1462
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
14%
86%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +13.4
Patriots
13-2 Rating 1769
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Dolphins Patriots
All-time wins 46 37
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 21.7 20.1
Last meeting 14 41

Key Season Stats

Stat Dolphins Patriots
Games played 15 15
Avg points scored 17.7 32.0
Avg points conceded 19.7 20.4
Win percentage 47% 87%
Away win % / Home win % 86% 100%