Final Score: Bears 3 - Packers 10
Sunday, January 2, 2011 at 4:15 PM ET

Bears @ Packers

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Bears
11-4 Rating 1602
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Green Bay Packers +4.5
Packers
9-6 Rating 1656
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bears Packers
All-time wins 38 41
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 18.2 18.8
Last meeting 20 17

Key Season Stats

Stat Bears Packers
Games played 15 15
Avg points scored 22.1 25.2
Avg points conceded 18.4 15.8
Win percentage 73% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 86% 86%