| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 24, 2006 | 23–24 | Broncos +1 | Broncos +3.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2006 | 20–17 | Chargers +3 | Chargers +4.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2006 | 26–20 | Cardinals +6 | 49ers +3.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2006 | 30–7 | Saints +23 | Giants +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2006 | 10–3 | Panthers +7 | Falcons +2.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2006 | 26–21 | Bears +5 | Bears +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2006 | 22–7 | Buccaneers +15 | Browns +3.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2006 | 24–27 | Texans +3 | Colts +8.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2006 | 24–21 | Patriots +3 | Jaguars +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2006 | 31–7 | Ravens +24 | Steelers +2.9 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2006 | 30–29 | Titans +1 | Bills +5.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2006 | 31–37 | Rams +6 | Rams +1.7 | Regular Season |