| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2006 | 3–13 | Broncos +10 | Broncos +16.6 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 15, 2006 | 7–45 | Steelers +38 | Steelers +5.5 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 15, 2006 | 48–19 | Chargers +29 | Chargers +7.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 15, 2006 | 17–20 | Jets +3 | Jets +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 15, 2006 | 27–14 | Giants +13 | Falcons +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 15, 2006 | 17–20 | Lions +3 | Bills +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 15, 2006 | 23–21 | Panthers +2 | Ravens +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 15, 2006 | 13–14 | Buccaneers +1 | Bengals +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 15, 2006 | 6–34 | Cowboys +28 | Cowboys +9.5 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 15, 2006 | 30–28 | Seahawks +2 | Seahawks +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 15, 2006 | 24–27 | Saints +3 | Eagles +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 15, 2006 | 25–22 | Titans +3 | Commanders +9.9 | Regular Season |