| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2004 | 38–31 | Vikings +7 | Vikings +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 17, 2004 | 24–20 | Steelers +4 | Steelers +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 17, 2004 | 31–3 | Broncos +28 | Broncos +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 17, 2004 | 8–30 | Eagles +22 | Eagles +9.0 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 17, 2004 | 13–10 | Commanders +3 | Bears +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 17, 2004 | 17–34 | Browns +17 | Browns +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 17, 2004 | 38–10 | Packers +28 | Packers +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 17, 2004 | 14–22 | Jets +8 | Jets +7.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 17, 2004 | 20–21 | Falcons +1 | Falcons +5.6 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 17, 2004 | 20–10 | Texans +10 | Titans +11.2 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 17, 2004 | 16–22 | Jaguars +6 | Chiefs +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 17, 2004 | 20–30 | Patriots +10 | Patriots +9.2 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 17, 2004 | 13–20 | Bills +7 | Bills +1.9 | Regular Season |