| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2004 | 13–3 | Steelers +10 | Dolphins +5.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 26, 2004 | 20–30 | Raiders +10 | Buccaneers +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 26, 2004 | 0–34 | Seahawks +34 | Seahawks +5.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 26, 2004 | 31–45 | Colts +14 | Colts +3.5 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 26, 2004 | 13–23 | Broncos +10 | Broncos +9.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 26, 2004 | 3–6 | Falcons +3 | Falcons +9.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 26, 2004 | 30–13 | Eagles +17 | Eagles +6.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 26, 2004 | 23–9 | Ravens +14 | Ravens +2.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 26, 2004 | 10–27 | Giants +17 | Giants +2.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 26, 2004 | 15–12 | Jaguars +3 | Titans +8.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 26, 2004 | 28–25 | Saints +3 | Rams +4.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 26, 2004 | 22–27 | Vikings +5 | Vikings +5.5 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 26, 2004 | 24–21 | Texans +3 | Chiefs +10.0 | Regular Season |