| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2004 | 13–16 | Bengals +3 | Dolphins +2.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2004 | 23–12 | Patriots +11 | Patriots +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2004 | 10–13 | Raiders +3 | Raiders +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2004 | 12–19 | Cowboys +7 | Cowboys +2.8 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2004 | 34–28 | Jets +6 | Jets +1.5 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2004 | 10–6 | Seahawks +4 | Buccaneers +2.8 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2004 | 16–28 | Lions +12 | Lions +3.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2004 | 14–20 | Giants +6 | Giants +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2004 | 17–34 | Falcons +17 | Rams +1.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2004 | 27–30 | Saints +3 | Saints +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2004 | 13–30 | Ravens +17 | Ravens +4.5 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2004 | 21–10 | Bears +11 | Packers +10.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2004 | 6–7 | Jaguars +1 | Broncos +2.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2004 | 31–17 | Colts +14 | Titans +5.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 19, 2004 | 28–17 | Panthers +11 | Chiefs +4.5 | Regular Season |