Final Score: Patriots 52 - Bills 28
Sunday, September 30, 2012 at 1:02 PM ET
Patriots @ Bills
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Patriots | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 50 | 33 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 21.7 | 18.0 |
| Last meeting | 49 | 21 |
| Stat | Patriots | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 3 | 3 |
| Avg points scored | 27.3 | 29.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 21.3 | 26.3 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 100% |
Recent Results
Patriots
@ Baltimore Ravens
Sep 23, 2012 · Margin: -1 · Total: 61
30-31
vs Arizona Cardinals
Sep 16, 2012 · Margin: -2 · Total: 38
18-20
@ Tennessee Titans
Sep 9, 2012 · Margin: +21 · Total: 47
34-13
vs New York Giants
Feb 5, 2012 · Margin: -4 · Total: 38
17-21
vs Baltimore Ravens
Jan 22, 2012 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
vs Denver Broncos
Jan 14, 2012 · Margin: +35 · Total: 55
45-10
vs Buffalo Bills
Jan 1, 2012 · Margin: +28 · Total: 70
49-21
vs Miami Dolphins
Dec 24, 2011 · Margin: +3 · Total: 51
27-24
@ Denver Broncos
Dec 18, 2011 · Margin: +18 · Total: 64
41-23
@ Washington Commanders
Dec 11, 2011 · Margin: +7 · Total: 61
34-27
Bills
@ Cleveland Browns
Sep 23, 2012 · Margin: +10 · Total: 38
24-14
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Sep 16, 2012 · Margin: +18 · Total: 52
35-17
@ New York Jets
Sep 9, 2012 · Margin: -20 · Total: 76
28-48
@ New England Patriots
Jan 1, 2012 · Margin: -28 · Total: 70
21-49
vs Denver Broncos
Dec 24, 2011 · Margin: +26 · Total: 54
40-14
vs Miami Dolphins
Dec 18, 2011 · Margin: -7 · Total: 53
23-30
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 11, 2011 · Margin: -27 · Total: 47
10-37
vs Tennessee Titans
Dec 4, 2011 · Margin: -6 · Total: 40
17-23
@ New York Jets
Nov 27, 2011 · Margin: -4 · Total: 52
24-28
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 20, 2011 · Margin: -27 · Total: 43
8-35