Final Score: Dolphins 30 - Bills 23
Sunday, December 18, 2011 at 1:02 PM ET

Dolphins @ Bills

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Dolphins
4-9 Rating 1454
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Buffalo Bills +0.2
Bills
5-8 Rating 1377
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Dolphins Bills
All-time wins 52 35
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 22.4 18.6
Last meeting 35 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Dolphins Bills
Games played 13 13
Avg points scored 19.7 22.2
Avg points conceded 18.9 26.2
Win percentage 31% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 17% 67%