Final Score: Dolphins 24 - Patriots 27
Saturday, December 24, 2011 at 1:02 PM ET

Dolphins @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Dolphins
5-9 Rating 1474
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
15%
85%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +13.3
Patriots
11-3 Rating 1777
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Dolphins Patriots
All-time wins 46 39
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 21.5 20.5
Last meeting 24 38

Key Season Stats

Stat Dolphins Patriots
Games played 14 14
Avg points scored 20.4 31.2
Avg points conceded 19.2 21.2
Win percentage 36% 79%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 83%