Final Score: Patriots 34 - Commanders 27
Sunday, December 11, 2011 at 1:03 PM ET

Patriots @ Commanders

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
9-3 Rating 1757
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
84%
16%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +8.2
Commanders
4-8 Rating 1342
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Commanders
All-time wins 2 6
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 21.4 21.0
Last meeting 52 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Commanders
Games played 12 12
Avg points scored 30.2 16.8
Avg points conceded 20.6 21.3
Win percentage 75% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 33%