Final Score: Colts 24 - Patriots 31
Sunday, December 4, 2011 at 1:02 PM ET

Colts @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Colts
0-11 Rating 1335
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
9%
91%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +16.5
Patriots
8-3 Rating 1753
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Colts Patriots
All-time wins 29 45
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 18.8 23.6
Last meeting 28 31

Key Season Stats

Stat Colts Patriots
Games played 11 11
Avg points scored 13.6 30.1
Avg points conceded 29.7 20.3
Win percentage 0% 73%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 80%