Final Score: Bills 21 - Patriots 49
Sunday, January 1, 2012 at 1:02 PM ET

Bills @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Bills
6-9 Rating 1391
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
10%
90%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +16.6
Patriots
12-3 Rating 1781
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bills Patriots
All-time wins 33 49
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 18.0 21.4
Last meeting 34 31

Key Season Stats

Stat Bills Patriots
Games played 15 15
Avg points scored 23.4 30.9
Avg points conceded 25.7 21.4
Win percentage 40% 80%
Away win % / Home win % 14% 86%