Final Score: Broncos 14 - Bills 40
Saturday, December 24, 2011 at 1:02 PM ET

Broncos @ Bills

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Broncos
8-6 Rating 1444
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Denver Broncos +0.3
Bills
5-9 Rating 1356
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Broncos Bills
All-time wins 10 8
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 21.2 18.1
Last meeting 23 30

Key Season Stats

Stat Broncos Bills
Games played 14 14
Avg points scored 20.9 22.2
Avg points conceded 24.5 26.5
Win percentage 57% 36%
Away win % / Home win % 71% 57%