Final Score: Patriots 17 - Bills 10
Sunday, December 20, 2009 at 1:02 PM ET

Patriots @ Bills

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
8-5 Rating 1689
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
73%
27%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +6.4
Bills
5-8 Rating 1418
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Bills
All-time wins 46 32
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average points 20.9 17.9
Last meeting 25 24

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Bills
Games played 13 13
Avg points scored 26.8 16.5
Avg points conceded 18.0 20.8
Win percentage 62% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 17% 33%