Final Score: Bills 3 - Falcons 31
Sunday, December 27, 2009 at 1:02 PM ET

Bills @ Falcons

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Bills
5-9 Rating 1407
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Atlanta Falcons +6.0
Falcons
7-7 Rating 1509
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bills Falcons
All-time wins 4 5
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 20.7 20.6
Last meeting 16 24

Key Season Stats

Stat Bills Falcons
Games played 14 14
Avg points scored 16.1 22.3
Avg points conceded 20.6 22.3
Win percentage 36% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 71%