Final Score: Dolphins 17 - Patriots 27
Sunday, November 8, 2009 at 1:02 PM ET

Dolphins @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Dolphins
3-4 Rating 1490
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
21%
79%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +9.9
Patriots
5-2 Rating 1697
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Dolphins Patriots
All-time wins 45 35
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 21.8 19.7
Last meeting 28 48

Key Season Stats

Stat Dolphins Patriots
Games played 7 7
Avg points scored 25.1 28.3
Avg points conceded 25.3 14.0
Win percentage 43% 71%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 100%