Final Score: Patriots 17 - Broncos 20
Sunday, October 11, 2009 at 4:16 PM ET
Patriots @ Broncos
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Patriots | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 6 | 18 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 18.0 | 25.3 |
| Last meeting | 41 | 7 |
| Stat | Patriots | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 4 | 4 |
| Avg points scored | 21.8 | 19.8 |
| Avg points conceded | 17.8 | 6.5 |
| Win percentage | 75% | 100% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 0% | 100% |
Recent Results
Patriots
vs Baltimore Ravens
Oct 4, 2009 · Margin: +6 · Total: 48
27-21
vs Atlanta Falcons
Sep 27, 2009 · Margin: +16 · Total: 36
26-10
@ New York Jets
Sep 20, 2009 · Margin: -7 · Total: 25
9-16
vs Buffalo Bills
Sep 14, 2009 · Margin: +1 · Total: 49
25-24
@ Buffalo Bills
Dec 28, 2008 · Margin: +13 · Total: 13
13-0
vs Arizona Cardinals
Dec 21, 2008 · Margin: +40 · Total: 54
47-7
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 14, 2008 · Margin: +23 · Total: 75
49-26
@ Seattle Seahawks
Dec 7, 2008 · Margin: +3 · Total: 45
24-21
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Nov 30, 2008 · Margin: -23 · Total: 43
10-33
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 23, 2008 · Margin: +20 · Total: 76
48-28
Broncos
vs Dallas Cowboys
Oct 4, 2009 · Margin: +7 · Total: 27
17-10
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 27, 2009 · Margin: +20 · Total: 26
23-3
vs Cleveland Browns
Sep 20, 2009 · Margin: +21 · Total: 33
27-6
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Sep 13, 2009 · Margin: +5 · Total: 19
12-7
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 28, 2008 · Margin: -31 · Total: 73
21-52
vs Buffalo Bills
Dec 21, 2008 · Margin: -7 · Total: 53
23-30
@ Carolina Panthers
Dec 14, 2008 · Margin: -20 · Total: 40
10-30
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 7, 2008 · Margin: +7 · Total: 41
24-17
@ New York Jets
Nov 30, 2008 · Margin: +17 · Total: 51
34-17
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 23, 2008 · Margin: -21 · Total: 41
10-31