Final Score: Ravens 21 - Patriots 27
Sunday, October 4, 2009 at 1:02 PM ET

Ravens @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Ravens
3-0 Rating 1666
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +2.7
Patriots
2-1 Rating 1663
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Ravens Patriots
All-time wins 0 4
Last 5 meetings 0 1
Average points 17.0 29.3
Last meeting 24 27

Key Season Stats

Stat Ravens Patriots
Games played 3 3
Avg points scored 34.3 20.0
Avg points conceded 17.7 16.7
Win percentage 100% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 100% 100%