Final Score: Jaguars 7 - Patriots 35
Sunday, December 27, 2009 at 1:02 PM ET

Jaguars @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Jaguars
7-7 Rating 1430
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
17%
83%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +11.9
Patriots
9-5 Rating 1700
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Jaguars Patriots
All-time wins 1 7
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 16.6 24.3
Last meeting 20 31

Key Season Stats

Stat Jaguars Patriots
Games played 14 14
Avg points scored 19.0 26.1
Avg points conceded 23.0 17.4
Win percentage 50% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 100%