Pacers @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Pacers 125 - Heat 145
Friday, October 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Indiana
Pacers
2-3 Rating 1263
Form: WLWLL
125 – 145
Model Probability
20%
80%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +8.0
Miami
Heat
1-4 Rating 1468
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pacers Heat
All-time wins 89 77
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 99.1 98.1
Last meeting 135 118

Key Season Stats

Stat Pacers Heat
Games played 5 5
Avg points scored 115.0 113.0
Avg points conceded 114.8 120.8
Win percentage 40% 20%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 0%