Final Score: Heat 114 - Raptors 128
Thursday, April 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Heat @ Raptors
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Raptors |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 68 | 50 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 99.4 | 97.9 |
| Last meeting | 95 | 121 |
| Stat | Heat | Raptors |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 79 | 79 |
| Avg points scored | 120.4 | 114.4 |
| Avg points conceded | 118.5 | 111.9 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 56% |
Recent Results
Heat
@ Toronto Raptors
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: -26 · Total: 216
95-121
vs Washington Wizards
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 288
152-136
vs Boston Celtics
Apr 1, 2026 · Margin: -18 · Total: 276
129-147
vs Philadelphia 76ers
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 228
119-109
@ Indiana Pacers
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: -17 · Total: 253
118-135
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
Mar 27, 2026 · Margin: -21 · Total: 277
128-149
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
Mar 25, 2026 · Margin: +17 · Total: 223
120-103
vs San Antonio Spurs
Mar 23, 2026 · Margin: -25 · Total: 247
111-136
@ Houston Rockets
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 245
122-123
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 260
126-134
Raptors
vs Miami Heat
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: +26 · Total: 216
121-95
@ Boston Celtics
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -14 · Total: 216
101-115
@ Memphis Grizzlies
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: +32 · Total: 224
128-96
vs Sacramento Kings
Apr 1, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 238
115-123
@ Detroit Pistons
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 243
116-127
vs Orlando Magic
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: +52 · Total: 226
139-87
vs New Orleans Pelicans
Mar 27, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 225
119-106
@ Los Angeles Clippers
Mar 25, 2026 · Margin: -25 · Total: 213
94-119
@ Utah Jazz
Mar 23, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 270
143-127
@ Phoenix Suns
Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: -22 · Total: 218
98-120