Final Score: Heat 120 - Cavaliers 103
Wednesday, March 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Heat @ Cavaliers
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 81 | 58 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 98.1 | 97.1 |
| Last meeting | 116 | 130 |
| Stat | Heat | Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 72 | 72 |
| Avg points scored | 120.2 | 119.2 |
| Avg points conceded | 117.5 | 114.9 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 62% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 64% |
Recent Results
Heat
vs San Antonio Spurs
Mar 23, 2026 · Margin: -25 · Total: 247
111-136
@ Houston Rockets
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 245
122-123
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 260
126-134
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: -30 · Total: 242
106-136
vs Orlando Magic
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 238
117-121
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 217
112-105
vs Washington Wizards
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +21 · Total: 279
150-129
vs Detroit Pistons
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 231
121-110
@ Charlotte Hornets
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 248
128-120
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 236
126-110
Cavaliers
vs Orlando Magic
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 267
136-131
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 217
111-106
@ Chicago Bulls
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 225
115-110
@ Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 239
123-116
vs Dallas Mavericks
Mar 15, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 250
120-130
@ Dallas Mavericks
Mar 13, 2026 · Margin: +33 · Total: 243
138-105
@ Orlando Magic
Mar 11, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 250
122-128
vs Philadelphia 76ers
Mar 9, 2026 · Margin: +14 · Total: 216
115-101
vs Boston Celtics
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 207
98-109
vs Detroit Pistons
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 222
113-109