Final Score: Heat 128 - Hornets 120
Friday, March 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Heat @ Hornets
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Hornets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 90 | 55 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 100.5 | 96.9 |
| Last meeting | 126 | 108 |
| Stat | Heat | Hornets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 63 | 63 |
| Avg points scored | 120.0 | 116.1 |
| Avg points conceded | 116.6 | 112.3 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 44% | 47% |
Recent Results
Heat
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 236
126-110
vs Brooklyn Nets
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +26 · Total: 222
124-98
vs Houston Rockets
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 220
115-105
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 241
117-124
@ Milwaukee Bucks
Feb 24, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 245
117-128
vs Memphis Grizzlies
Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 256
136-120
@ Atlanta Hawks
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 225
128-97
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 234
123-111
vs Utah Jazz
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 226
111-115
@ Washington Wizards
Feb 8, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 233
132-101
Hornets
@ Boston Celtics
Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: +29 · Total: 207
118-89
vs Dallas Mavericks
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +27 · Total: 207
117-90
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 202
109-93
@ Indiana Pacers
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: +24 · Total: 242
133-109
@ Chicago Bulls
Feb 24, 2026 · Margin: +32 · Total: 230
131-99
@ Washington Wizards
Feb 22, 2026 · Margin: +17 · Total: 241
129-112
vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 231
113-118
vs Houston Rockets
Feb 19, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 206
101-105
vs Atlanta Hawks
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 217
110-107
vs Detroit Pistons
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 214
104-110