Final Score: Rockets 105 - Heat 115
Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET
Rockets @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rockets | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 34 | 42 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 100.8 | 101.2 |
| Last meeting | 102 | 98 |
| Stat | Rockets | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 58 | 60 |
| Avg points scored | 114.7 | 119.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 109.1 | 117.2 |
| Win percentage | 64% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 55% | 61% |
Recent Results
Rockets
@ Orlando Magic
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 221
113-108
vs Sacramento Kings
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 225
128-97
vs Utah Jazz
Feb 23, 2026 · Margin: +20 · Total: 230
125-105
@ New York Knicks
Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 214
106-108
@ Charlotte Hornets
Feb 19, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 206
105-101
vs Los Angeles Clippers
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 207
102-105
vs Los Angeles Clippers
Feb 10, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 197
102-95
@ Oklahoma City Thunder
Feb 7, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 218
112-106
vs Charlotte Hornets
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 208
99-109
vs Boston Celtics
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: -21 · Total: 207
93-114
Heat
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 241
117-124
@ Milwaukee Bucks
Feb 24, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 245
117-128
vs Memphis Grizzlies
Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 256
136-120
@ Atlanta Hawks
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 225
128-97
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 234
123-111
vs Utah Jazz
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 226
111-115
@ Washington Wizards
Feb 8, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 233
132-101
@ Boston Celtics
Feb 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 194
96-98
vs Atlanta Hawks
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 242
115-127
vs Chicago Bulls
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +43 · Total: 225
134-91